Home/Champions League/Bayern Munich vs Arsenal

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal

🇪🇺 Champions LeagueWed, Oct 21, 07:00 PM

Bayern Munich

VSFT

Arsenal

Home 46%Draw 25%Away 29%

Wed, 21 October 2026

Full Time

Bayern Munich

Home

2–2

Arsenal

Away

❌Prediction Incorrect

Model gave this outcome

25%

Our Prediction

Bayern Munich Win

Actual Result

Draw

Pre-match probabilities

Bayern Munich Win

46%

Draw (result)

25%

Arsenal Win

29%

Market Odds

Average of four bookmakers (Pinnacle, Betfair Exchange, Betsson, LeoVegas).

Outcome	Average odds	Probability	Fair odds
Bayern Munich win (1)	@2.09	46%	@2.17
Draw (X)	@3.88	25%	@4.00
Arsenal win (2)	@3.28	29%	@3.45

Average bookmaker margin: 4.1%Probability is the bookmaker consensus with the margin removed. Fair odds = 100 / probability.

Recent Form & Last Completed Matches

Actual results and goal metrics recorded in recent official fixtures.

Bayern Munich

WDDWW

Record3V - 2N - 0P

Goals +/-20 : 7

Clean Sheets1 / 5

Oct 17vsRB Leipzig

6 - 1W

Oct 13@Viking FK

3 - 3D

Oct 10@Augsburg

2 - 2D

Sep 18vsUnion Berlin

7 - 0W

Sep 13@Elversberg

2 - 1W

Arsenal

WWWLW

Record4V - 0N - 1P

Goals +/-8 : 4

Clean Sheets3 / 5

Oct 18@Nottingham Forest

1 - 0W

Oct 13vsLille

3 - 0W

Oct 10vsLeeds United

2 - 1W

Sep 19@Brighton and Hove Albion

0 - 3L

Sep 12@Sunderland

2 - 0W

Key facts

Implied probabilities from the odds of 4 bookmakers: Bayern Munich 46%, draw 25%, Arsenal 29%.
Arsenal: 3 wins in a row.
Bayern Munich: no defeats in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws).
Bayern Munich, last 2 home matches: 2 wins.
Arsenal: no goals conceded in 3 of the last 5 matches.

Figures are based on the matches in our records.