Home/Champions League/Liverpool vs Villarreal

Liverpool vs Villarreal

🇪🇺 Champions LeagueTue, Oct 20, 07:00 PM

Liverpool

VSFT

Villarreal

Home 65%Draw 20%Away 15%

Tue, 20 October 2026

Full Time

Liverpool

Home

4–3

Villarreal

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

65%

Our Prediction

Liverpool Win

Actual Result

Liverpool Win

Pre-match probabilities

Liverpool Win (result)

65%

Draw

20%

Villarreal Win

15%

Market Odds

Average of four bookmakers (Pinnacle, Betfair Exchange, Betsson, LeoVegas).

Outcome	Average odds	Probability	Fair odds
Liverpool win (1)	@1.49	65%	@1.54
Draw (X)	@4.78	20%	@5.00
Villarreal win (2)	@6.25	15%	@6.67

Average bookmaker margin: 4.0%Probability is the bookmaker consensus with the margin removed. Fair odds = 100 / probability.

Recent Form & Last Completed Matches

Actual results and goal metrics recorded in recent official fixtures.

Liverpool

WWLWD

Record3V - 1N - 1P

Goals +/-9 : 7

Clean Sheets2 / 5

Oct 17@Brentford

2 - 1W

Oct 14@LASK

6 - 3W

Oct 11vsManchester City

0 - 3L

Sep 20@Bournemouth

1 - 0W

Sep 12vsFulham

0 - 0D

Villarreal

DWLWW

Record3V - 1N - 1P

Goals +/-9 : 4

Clean Sheets1 / 5

Oct 17vsElche CF

0 - 0D

Oct 13vsNapoli

3 - 1W

Oct 10@Real Madrid

0 - 1L

Sep 20vsLevante

3 - 1W

Sep 17@Málaga

3 - 1W

Key facts

Implied probabilities from the odds of 4 bookmakers: Liverpool 65%, draw 20%, Villarreal 15%.
Liverpool, last 2 home matches: 1 draw, 1 defeat.
Liverpool: no goals scored in 2 of the last 5 matches.
Villarreal, last 2 away matches: 1 win, 1 defeat.
Villarreal: no goals scored in 2 of the last 5 matches.

Figures are based on the matches in our records.