Manchester City vs AEK Athens
🇪🇺 Champions LeagueTue, Oct 20, 07:00 PM
Manchester City
VSFT
AEK Athens
Home 86%Draw 10%Away 4%
Tue, 20 October 2026
Full Time
Manchester City
Home
5–1
AEK Athens
Away
✅Prediction Correct
Model gave this outcome
86%
Our Prediction
Manchester City Win
Actual Result
Manchester City Win
Pre-match probabilities
Manchester City Win (result)
86%
Draw
10%
AEK Athens Win
4%
Market Odds
Average of four bookmakers (Pinnacle, Betfair Exchange, Betsson, LeoVegas).
| Outcome | Average odds | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City win (1) | @1.11 | 86% | @1.16 |
| Draw (X) | @10.18 | 10% | @10.00 |
| AEK Athens win (2) | @22.20 | 4% | @25.00 |
Average bookmaker margin: 4.4%Probability is the bookmaker consensus with the margin removed. Fair odds = 100 / probability.
Recent Form & Last Completed Matches
Actual results and goal metrics recorded in recent official fixtures.
Manchester City
WLWWW
Record4V - 0N - 1P
Goals +/-14 : 9
Clean Sheets2 / 5
Oct 17vsIpswich Town
3 - 2W
Oct 14vsParis Saint Germain
2 - 4L
Oct 11@Liverpool
3 - 0W
Sep 20vsSunderland
5 - 3W
Sep 13@Manchester United
1 - 0W
AEK Athens
LWWD
Record2V - 1N - 1P
Goals +/-6 : 3
Clean Sheets3 / 4
Oct 14@Shakhtar Donetsk
1 - 3L
Sep 8vsLASK
1 - 0W
Aug 26vsPFC Levski Sofia
4 - 0W
Aug 18@PFC Levski Sofia
0 - 0D
Key facts
- Implied probabilities from the odds of 4 bookmakers: Manchester City 86%, draw 10%, AEK Athens 4%.
- Manchester City, last 3 home matches: 2 wins, 1 defeat.
- Manchester City: at least one goal scored in each of the last 5 matches.
Figures are based on the matches in our records.
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