Home/Champions League/Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt

Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt

🇪🇺 Champions LeagueTue, Oct 20, 07:00 PM

Napoli

VSFT

Bodø/Glimt

Home 54%Draw 24%Away 22%

Tue, 20 October 2026

Full Time

Napoli

Home

4–3

Bodø/Glimt

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

54%

Our Prediction

Napoli Win

Actual Result

Napoli Win

Pre-match probabilities

Napoli Win (result)

54%

Draw

24%

Bodø/Glimt Win

22%

Market Odds

Average of four bookmakers (Pinnacle, Betfair Exchange, Betsson, LeoVegas).

Outcome	Average odds	Probability	Fair odds
Napoli win (1)	@1.78	54%	@1.85
Draw (X)	@4.05	24%	@4.17
Bodø/Glimt win (2)	@4.31	22%	@4.55

Average bookmaker margin: 4.1%Probability is the bookmaker consensus with the margin removed. Fair odds = 100 / probability.

Recent Form & Last Completed Matches

Actual results and goal metrics recorded in recent official fixtures.

Napoli

LLWDW

Record2V - 1N - 2P

Goals +/-6 : 5

Clean Sheets2 / 5

Oct 17@Venezia

0 - 1L

Oct 13@Villarreal

1 - 3L

Oct 10vsFrosinone

3 - 0W

Sep 20@Fiorentina

1 - 1D

Sep 13vsBologna

1 - 0W

Bodø/Glimt

WLWWW

Record4V - 0N - 1P

Goals +/-10 : 8

Clean Sheets2 / 5

Oct 14vsBorussia Dortmund

1 - 0W

Sep 10@Bayern Munich

0 - 5L

Aug 25vsNEC Nijmegen

3 - 0W

Aug 19@NEC Nijmegen

3 - 1W

Aug 11vsUnion Saint-Gilloise

3 - 2W

Key facts

Implied probabilities from the odds of 4 bookmakers: Napoli 54%, draw 24%, Bodø/Glimt 22%.
Napoli has the higher win probability but fewer points from the last 5 matches: 7 against 12 for Bodø/Glimt.
Napoli, last 2 home matches: 2 wins.
Bodø/Glimt, last 2 away matches: 1 win, 1 defeat.

Figures are based on the matches in our records.