Home/Champions League/Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig

🇪🇺 Champions LeagueWed, Oct 21, 07:00 PM

Real Madrid

VSFT

RB Leipzig

Home 78%Draw 13%Away 9%

Wed, 21 October 2026

Full Time

Real Madrid

Home

4–1

RB Leipzig

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

78%

Our Prediction

Real Madrid Win

Actual Result

Real Madrid Win

Pre-match probabilities

Real Madrid Win (result)

78%

Draw

13%

RB Leipzig Win

Market Odds

Average of four bookmakers (Pinnacle, Betfair Exchange, Betsson, LeoVegas).

Outcome	Average odds	Probability	Fair odds
Real Madrid win (1)	@1.23	78%	@1.28
Draw (X)	@7.54	13%	@7.69
RB Leipzig win (2)	@10.61	9%	@11.11

Average bookmaker margin: 4.0%Probability is the bookmaker consensus with the margin removed. Fair odds = 100 / probability.

Recent Form & Last Completed Matches

Actual results and goal metrics recorded in recent official fixtures.

Real Madrid

WWWLW

Record4V - 0N - 1P

Goals +/-13 : 8

Clean Sheets1 / 5

Oct 18vsSevilla

4 - 1W

Oct 14@AS Roma

4 - 3W

Oct 10vsVillarreal

1 - 0W

Sep 20@Atlético Madrid

1 - 2L

Sep 15@Elche CF

3 - 2W

RB Leipzig

LWWLW

Record3V - 0N - 2P

Goals +/-13 : 8

Clean Sheets3 / 5

Oct 17@Bayern Munich

1 - 6L

Oct 13vsPSV Eindhoven

1 - 0W

Oct 10vsEintracht Frankfurt

6 - 0W

Sep 20@Bayer Leverkusen

0 - 2L

Sep 13vsHamburger SV

5 - 0W

Key facts

Implied probabilities from the odds of 4 bookmakers: Real Madrid 78%, draw 13%, RB Leipzig 9%.
Real Madrid: 3 wins in a row.
Real Madrid, last 2 home matches: 2 wins.
RB Leipzig, last 2 away matches: 2 defeats.
RB Leipzig: no goals conceded in 3 of the last 5 matches.

Figures are based on the matches in our records.