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Liga Portugal (Portugal) Predictions

About Liga Portugal (Portugal)

The Primeira Liga is Portugal's top division: 18 clubs play 34 matchdays. For every Primeira Liga match, FootballExplorer publishes win, draw and loss probabilities from the consensus of four bookmakers (Pinnacle, Betfair Exchange, Betsson and LeoVegas) with their margin removed. Next to the probabilities you find both teams' recent form and the head-to-head record, calculated from our results archive. After each match we record the result and whether the prediction was right, on the public accuracy page.

League Overview

Season
2026
Country
🇵🇹Portugal
Status
Active

Frequently Asked Questions

How are Primeira Liga predictions calculated?

We average the 1X2 odds of Pinnacle, Betfair Exchange, Betsson and LeoVegas, convert them into probabilities and remove the bookmaker margin. The most likely outcome is our prediction. If no bookmaker prices a match, we publish no prediction.

How accurate are Primeira Liga predictions?

Every settled match counts on the accuracy page, right or wrong. It shows the number of matches, the correct ones and the percentage, updated automatically after every result.

Are Primeira Liga predictions free?

Yes. Probabilities, average odds, recent form and head-to-head are free with no sign-up. FootballExplorer is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

🇵🇹Liga Portugal (Portugal)

Recent Match Results & Final Scores

Verified final scores and prediction accuracy for completed fixtures

Mon, 19 October 2026
Full Time
Braga logo

Braga

Home

1–2
Gil Vicente logo

Gil Vicente

Away

❌Prediction Incorrect

Model gave this outcome

16%

Our Prediction

Braga Win

Actual Result

Gil Vicente Win

Pre-match probabilities

Braga Win
60%
Draw
24%
Gil Vicente Win (result)
16%
Mon, 12 October 2026
Full Time
Famalicão logo

Famalicão

Home

1–4
Alverca logo

Alverca

Away

❌Prediction Incorrect

Model gave this outcome

22%

Our Prediction

Famalicão Win

Actual Result

Alverca Win

Pre-match probabilities

Famalicão Win
50%
Draw
28%
Alverca Win (result)
22%
Sun, 11 October 2026
Full Time
Arouca logo

Arouca

Home

1–0
CF Estrela logo

CF Estrela

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

47%

Our Prediction

Arouca Win

Actual Result

Arouca Win

Pre-match probabilities

Arouca Win (result)
47%
Draw
27%
CF Estrela Win
26%
Sun, 11 October 2026
Full Time
Benfica logo

Benfica

Home

2–0
Vitória SC logo

Vitória SC

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

80%

Our Prediction

Benfica Win

Actual Result

Benfica Win

Pre-match probabilities

Benfica Win (result)
80%
Draw
14%
Vitória SC Win
6%
Sun, 11 October 2026
Full Time
Rio Ave FC logo

Rio Ave FC

Home

3–2
Nacional logo

Nacional

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

42%

Our Prediction

Rio Ave FC Win

Actual Result

Rio Ave FC Win

Pre-match probabilities

Rio Ave FC Win (result)
42%
Draw
29%
Nacional Win
29%
Sat, 10 October 2026
Full Time
Académico de Viseu logo

Académico de Viseu

Home

2–1
Estoril logo

Estoril

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

41%

Our Prediction

Académico de Viseu Win

Actual Result

Académico de Viseu Win

Pre-match probabilities

Académico de Viseu Win (result)
41%
Draw
28%
Estoril Win
31%
Sat, 10 October 2026
Full Time
Casa Pia logo

Casa Pia

Home

0–1
Santa Clara logo

Santa Clara

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

51%

Our Prediction

Santa Clara Win

Actual Result

Santa Clara Win

Pre-match probabilities

Casa Pia Win
21%
Draw
28%
Santa Clara Win (result)
51%
Sat, 10 October 2026
Full Time
CS Maritimo logo

CS Maritimo

Home

1–2
FC Porto logo

FC Porto

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

73%

Our Prediction

FC Porto Win

Actual Result

FC Porto Win

Pre-match probabilities

CS Maritimo Win
9%
Draw
18%
FC Porto Win (result)
73%
Fri, 9 October 2026
Full Time
Braga logo

Braga

Home

1–3
Sporting Lisbon logo

Sporting Lisbon

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

41%

Our Prediction

Sporting Lisbon Win

Actual Result

Sporting Lisbon Win

Pre-match probabilities

Braga Win
30%
Draw
29%
Sporting Lisbon Win (result)
41%
Fri, 9 October 2026
Full Time
Moreirense FC logo

Moreirense FC

Home

0–1
Gil Vicente logo

Gil Vicente

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

43%

Our Prediction

Gil Vicente Win

Actual Result

Gil Vicente Win

Pre-match probabilities

Moreirense FC Win
27%
Draw
30%
Gil Vicente Win (result)
43%
Sun, 20 September 2026
Full Time
FC Porto logo

FC Porto

Home

3–1
Benfica logo

Benfica

Away

❌Prediction Incorrect

Model gave this outcome

35%

Our Prediction

Benfica Win

Actual Result

FC Porto Win

Pre-match probabilities

FC Porto Win (result)
35%
Draw
29%
Benfica Win
36%
Sun, 20 September 2026
Full Time
Santa Clara logo

Santa Clara

Home

0–0
Braga logo

Braga

Away

❌Prediction Incorrect

Model gave this outcome

30%

Our Prediction

Braga Win

Actual Result

Draw

Pre-match probabilities

Santa Clara Win
25%
Draw (result)
30%
Braga Win
45%
Sun, 20 September 2026
Full Time
Estoril logo

Estoril

Home

1–2
Casa Pia logo

Casa Pia

Away

❌Prediction Incorrect

Model gave this outcome

19%

Our Prediction

Estoril Win

Actual Result

Casa Pia Win

Pre-match probabilities

Estoril Win
55%
Draw
26%
Casa Pia Win (result)
19%
Sun, 20 September 2026
Full Time
Vitória SC logo

Vitória SC

Home

1–1
Moreirense FC logo

Moreirense FC

Away

❌Prediction Incorrect

Model gave this outcome

23%

Our Prediction

Vitória SC Win

Actual Result

Draw

Pre-match probabilities

Vitória SC Win
62%
Draw (result)
23%
Moreirense FC Win
15%
Sun, 20 September 2026
Full Time
CF Estrela logo

CF Estrela

Home

0–2
Académico de Viseu logo

Académico de Viseu

Away

❌Prediction Incorrect

Model gave this outcome

28%

Our Prediction

CF Estrela Win

Actual Result

Académico de Viseu Win

Pre-match probabilities

CF Estrela Win
43%
Draw
29%
Académico de Viseu Win (result)
28%

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