Home/Premier League/Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

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Newcastle United

VSNS

Home 42%Draw 26%Away 32%

Average of four bookmakers (Pinnacle, Betfair Exchange, Betsson, LeoVegas).

Outcome	Average odds	Probability	Fair odds
Newcastle United win (1)	@2.25	42%	@2.38
Draw (X)	@3.72	26%	@3.85
Aston Villa win (2)	@3.03	32%	@3.13

Average bookmaker margin: 4.3%Probability is the bookmaker consensus with the margin removed. Fair odds = 100 / probability.

Actual results and goal metrics recorded in recent official fixtures.

LWLDW

Record2V - 1N - 2P

Goals +/-8 : 11

Clean Sheets1 / 5

Oct 12@Coventry City

1 - 4L

Sep 19vsHull City

2 - 1W

Sep 14@Leeds United

1 - 4L

Sep 5vsBournemouth

2 - 2D

Aug 29@Tottenham Hotspur

2 - 0W

WDWLW

Record3V - 1N - 1P

Goals +/-15 : 8

Clean Sheets1 / 5

Oct 14vsFenerbahce

6 - 0W

Oct 10vsBrentford

2 - 2D

Sep 19@Tottenham Hotspur

3 - 2W

Sep 12vsNottingham Forest

1 - 2L

Sep 8@Club Brugge

3 - 2W

Implied probabilities from the odds of 4 bookmakers: Newcastle United 42%, draw 26%, Aston Villa 32%.
Newcastle United has the higher win probability but fewer points from the last 5 matches: 7 against 10 for Aston Villa.
Newcastle United, last 2 home matches: 1 win, 1 draw.
Aston Villa, last 2 away matches: 2 wins.
Newcastle United: at least one goal scored in each of the last 5 matches.

Figures are based on the matches in our records.