Home/Primera División (Argentina)/Estudiantes vs Gimnasia Mendoza

Estudiantes vs Gimnasia Mendoza

🇦🇷 Primera División (Argentina)Mon, Oct 5, 10:00 PM

Estudiantes

VSFT

Gimnasia Mendoza

Home 57%Draw 26%Away 17%

Mon, 5 October 2026

Full Time

Estudiantes

Home

3–0

Gimnasia Mendoza

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

57%

Our Prediction

Estudiantes Win

Actual Result

Estudiantes Win

Pre-match probabilities

Estudiantes Win (result)

57%

Draw

26%

Gimnasia Mendoza Win

17%

Market Odds

Average of four bookmakers (Pinnacle, Betfair Exchange, Betsson, LeoVegas).

Outcome	Average odds	Probability	Fair odds
Estudiantes win (1)	@1.70	57%	@1.75
Draw (X)	@3.67	26%	@3.85
Gimnasia Mendoza win (2)	@5.65	17%	@5.88

Average bookmaker margin: 3.8%Probability is the bookmaker consensus with the margin removed. Fair odds = 100 / probability.

Recent Form & Last Completed Matches

Actual results and goal metrics recorded in recent official fixtures.

Estudiantes

LWLDL

Record1V - 1N - 3P

Goals +/-3 : 6

Clean Sheets1 / 5

Sep 22@Lanus

1 - 2L

Sep 12vsPlatense

2 - 1W

Sep 6@Velez Sarsfield BA

0 - 1L

Aug 31vsNewells Old Boys

0 - 0D

Aug 23@Sarmiento de Junin

0 - 2L

Gimnasia Mendoza

DLDWW

Record2V - 2N - 1P

Goals +/-8 : 6

Clean Sheets2 / 5

Sep 19vsDeportivo Riestra

0 - 0D

Sep 11@Defensa y Justicia

0 - 2L

Sep 5vsBoca Juniors

2 - 2D

Aug 30@Independiente

3 - 0W

Aug 22@Gimnasia La Plata

3 - 2W

Key facts

Implied probabilities from the odds of 3 bookmakers: Estudiantes 57%, draw 26%, Gimnasia Mendoza 17%.
Estudiantes has the higher win probability but fewer points from the last 5 matches: 4 against 8 for Gimnasia Mendoza.
Estudiantes, last 2 home matches: 1 win, 1 draw.
Estudiantes: no goals scored in 3 of the last 5 matches.
Gimnasia Mendoza, last 3 away matches: 2 wins, 1 defeat.

Figures are based on the matches in our records.