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Everton vs Chelsea

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier LeagueSat, Oct 17, 11:30 AM

Everton

VSFT

Chelsea

Home 31%Draw 26%Away 43%

Sat, 17 October 2026

Full Time

Everton

Home

0–2

Chelsea

Away

✅Prediction Correct

Model gave this outcome

43%

Our Prediction

Chelsea Win

Actual Result

Chelsea Win

Pre-match probabilities

Everton Win

31%

Draw

26%

Chelsea Win (result)

43%

Market Odds

Average of four bookmakers (Pinnacle, Betfair Exchange, Betsson, LeoVegas).

Outcome	Average odds	Probability	Fair odds
Everton win (1)	@3.08	31%	@3.23
Draw (X)	@3.67	26%	@3.85
Chelsea win (2)	@2.25	43%	@2.33

Average bookmaker margin: 4.2%Probability is the bookmaker consensus with the margin removed. Fair odds = 100 / probability.

Recent Form & Last Completed Matches

Actual results and goal metrics recorded in recent official fixtures.

Everton

DWDDD

Record1V - 4N - 0P

Goals +/-6 : 5

Clean Sheets2 / 5

Oct 11@Hull City

2 - 2D

Sep 19vsIpswich Town

1 - 0W

Sep 12@Tottenham Hotspur

0 - 0D

Sep 6vsManchester United

2 - 2D

Aug 29@Bournemouth

1 - 1D

Chelsea

WLDLW

Record2V - 1N - 2P

Goals +/-12 : 11

Clean Sheets0 / 5

Oct 10vsBournemouth

5 - 1W

Sep 18@Brentford

0 - 3L

Sep 12vsHull City

2 - 2D

Sep 6@Arsenal

1 - 2L

Aug 30vsBrighton and Hove Albion

4 - 3W

Key facts

Implied probabilities from the odds of 4 bookmakers: Everton 31%, draw 26%, Chelsea 43%.
Everton: no defeats in the last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws).
Everton, last 2 home matches: 1 win, 1 draw.
Chelsea, last 2 away matches: 2 defeats.
Chelsea: at least one goal conceded in each of the last 5 matches.

Figures are based on the matches in our records.