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Group D · FIFA World Cup 2026

Australia at the 2026 World Cup: AI Predictions & Analysis

Australia reached the 2006 World Cup semi-finals, their best result, and followed with a round-of-16 exit in 2022.

AI Tournament Probabilities

Source: Market estimates, residual probability pool, verified 31 May 2026

Win the Tournament0.9%
Reach the Final1.6%
Reach the Semi-Finals2.3%
Reach the Quarter-Finals3.2%
Qualify from Group40.0%

Methodology

Probabilities calculated by devigging bookmaker odds. Updated as tournament progresses.

Win Probability

0.9%

Australia · FIFA World Cup 2026

Group DSchedule & Fixtures

The USA open at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles against Paraguay. No dominant favorite beyond the hosts in this open group.

1

Australia logo
Australiavs
Turkey logo
Turkey

14 Jun 2026Lumen Field, Seattle
Prediction
2

Australia logo
Australiavs
United States logo
United States

19 Jun 2026Lumen Field, Seattle
Prediction
3

Australia logo
Australiavs
Paraguay logo
Paraguay

26 Jun 2026SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles
Prediction

ℹ️ Full match schedule confirmed by FIFA. Venue details for matches 2 and 3 will be updated when confirmed.

$World Cup History

0

Titles

Best Result

Semi-finals in 2006

Australia reached the semi-finals of the 2006 World Cup in Germany — their best-ever result — before falling to eventual winners Italy.

$Explore More

Probabilities verified as of 31 May 2026 · Source: Market estimates, residual probability pool, verified 31 May 2026

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