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Group F · FIFA World Cup 2026

Japan at the 2026 World Cup: AI Predictions & Analysis

Japan knocked out Germany and Spain in the 2022 group stage, becoming the first team to beat 2 former world champions in a single group phase.

AI Tournament Probabilities

Source: Market estimates, residual probability pool, verified 31 May 2026

Win the Tournament1.5%
Reach the Final2.7%
Reach the Semi-Finals3.8%
Reach the Quarter-Finals5.3%
Qualify from Group58.0%

Methodology

Probabilities calculated by devigging bookmaker odds. Updated as tournament progresses.

Win Probability

1.5%

Japan · FIFA World Cup 2026

Group FSchedule & Fixtures

One of the most competitive groups. Japan have eliminated European sides in consecutive World Cups. Netherlands reached the 2022 quarterfinals.

1

Japan logo
Japanvs
Netherlands logo
Netherlands

14 Jun 2026AT&T Stadium, Dallas
Prediction
2

Japan logo
Japanvs
Tunisia logo
Tunisia

21 Jun 2026Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
Prediction
3

Japan logo
Japanvs
Sweden logo
Sweden

25 Jun 2026AT&T Stadium, Dallas
Prediction

ℹ️ Full match schedule confirmed by FIFA. Venue details for matches 1, 2 and 3 will be updated when confirmed.

$World Cup History

0

Titles

Best Result

Round of 16 in 2002, 2010, 2018, 2022

Japan eliminated both Germany and Spain in the 2022 group stage before exiting in the round of 16 on penalties.

$Explore More

Probabilities verified as of 31 May 2026 · Source: Market estimates, residual probability pool, verified 31 May 2026

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