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Group I · FIFA World Cup 2026

Norway at the 2026 World Cup: AI Predictions & Analysis

Norway return to the World Cup after 28 years, with Erling Haaland making his first appearance at the tournament.

AI Tournament Probabilities

Source: Market estimates, residual probability pool, verified 31 May 2026

Win the Tournament0.7%
Reach the Final1.3%
Reach the Semi-Finals1.8%
Reach the Quarter-Finals2.5%
Qualify from Group55.0%

Methodology

Probabilities calculated by devigging bookmaker odds. Updated as tournament progresses.

Win Probability

0.7%

Norway · FIFA World Cup 2026

Group ISchedule & Fixtures

2018 winners and 2022 finalists France (+500) play all three group matches in the northeastern US. Senegal are Africa's strongest threat.

1

Norway logo
Norwayvs
Iraq logo
Iraq

16 Jun 2026Gillette Stadium, Boston
Prediction
2

Norway logo
Norwayvs
Senegal logo
Senegal

23 Jun 2026MetLife Stadium, New York/New Jersey
Prediction
3

Norway logo
Norwayvs
France logo
France

26 Jun 2026Gillette Stadium, Boston
Prediction

ℹ️ Full match schedule confirmed. Venue details for matches 2 and 3 will be updated when confirmed.

$World Cup History

0

Titles

Best Result

Round of 16 in 1994, 1998

Norway last appeared at the World Cup in 1998. Erling Haaland leads the squad at their first tournament in 28 years.

$Explore More

Probabilities verified as of 31 May 2026 · Source: Market estimates, residual probability pool, verified 31 May 2026

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